Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000075 0.000079 0.000083 0.000087 0.000091 0.000096 0.000101
2025-02-09 0.000070 0.000076 0.000081 0.000088 0.000096 0.000104 0.000115
2025-02-16 0.000067 0.000074 0.000081 0.000090 0.000100 0.000112 0.000127
2025-02-23 0.000067 0.000074 0.000083 0.000094 0.000107 0.000123 0.000144
2025-03-02 0.000063 0.000071 0.000080 0.000091 0.000106 0.000124 0.000149
2025-03-09 0.000059 0.000067 0.000077 0.000089 0.000104 0.000123 0.000151
2025-03-16 0.000057 0.000066 0.000075 0.000088 0.000105 0.000127 0.000158
2025-03-23 0.000056 0.000065 0.000076 0.000090 0.000108 0.000133 0.000171
2025-03-30 0.000054 0.000063 0.000074 0.000088 0.000108 0.000135 0.000176
2025-04-06 0.000052 0.000060 0.000071 0.000085 0.000105 0.000132 0.000175
2025-04-13 0.000049 0.000057 0.000067 0.000081 0.000101 0.000127 0.000170
2025-04-20 0.000047 0.000055 0.000064 0.000078 0.000097 0.000124 0.000166
2025-04-27 0.000046 0.000054 0.000064 0.000079 0.000099 0.000128 0.000177
2025-05-04 0.000045 0.000054 0.000064 0.000080 0.000102 0.000135 0.000192
2025-05-11 0.000045 0.000053 0.000065 0.000081 0.000105 0.000142 0.000209
2025-05-18 0.000045 0.000054 0.000067 0.000085 0.000112 0.000156 0.000240
2025-05-25 0.000043 0.000052 0.000065 0.000083 0.000110 0.000155 0.000242
2025-06-01 0.000042 0.000050 0.000062 0.000080 0.000108 0.000152 0.000242
2025-06-08 0.000041 0.000050 0.000062 0.000080 0.000108 0.000156 0.000254
2025-06-15 0.000040 0.000050 0.000062 0.000081 0.000112 0.000164 0.000277
2025-06-22 0.000039 0.000048 0.000061 0.000080 0.000111 0.000165 0.000284
2025-06-29 0.000038 0.000047 0.000059 0.000077 0.000108 0.000160 0.000279
2025-07-06 0.000036 0.000045 0.000056 0.000074 0.000103 0.000153 0.000267